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North American economy in retreat

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1 year 2 months ago #117358 by Keith
Keith replied the topic: North American economy in retreat
I am going with a weak number, 165,000. No need to pad the number after the Clinton loss LOL

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1 year 2 months ago #117354 by DearJohn
DearJohn replied the topic: North American economy in retreat
Initial weekly U.S. jobless claims rose by 17,000 to a seasonally adjusted 268,000 in the week to Saturday, the Labor Department reported today

Consensus expectations compiled by various news organizations called for initial claims to be around 250,000 to 253,000.

This could mean a weaker number tomorrow? I am going with 162,000

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1 year 2 months ago #117351 by lynnsa10
lynnsa10 replied the topic: North American economy in retreat
Don't forget we are guessing about a rigged number, market and media. Here is a long and in depth video on this by Dr. Paul Roberts

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1 year 2 months ago #117349 by alexgreat
alexgreat replied the topic: North American economy in retreat
I am shooting high too and will guess at 207,000. I think the Fed wants to really ensure market sees the December rate hike coming

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1 year 2 months ago #117348 by Tom
Tom replied the topic: North American economy in retreat
I'm going with the strong number 215,000

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1 year 2 months ago #117347 by lynnsa10
lynnsa10 replied the topic: North American economy in retreat
Election is over, stock market at new highs, I see a weak number 138,000

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1 year 2 months ago #117346 by Gambler
Gambler replied the topic: North American economy in retreat
I bet on 205,000, all the economic numbers have been more robust lately so perhaps this trend will stay intact for the end of the year.

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1 year 2 months ago #117345 by GoldnBoy
GoldnBoy replied the topic: North American economy in retreat
I will go with 168,000. A weaker number because of the huge padding last month can't continue with the birth death rate model, but need it high enough to keep rate hike on track

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1 year 2 months ago #117344 by RonS
RonS replied the topic: North American economy in retreat
Jobs report out Friday, the median forecast is 180,000. Any hazard to guess for this month.

I decided to run a contest - The closest guesstimate to the reported number gets a 6 month trial to the newsletter. Have not figured out a price for current subscribers - any suggestions welcome

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1 year 2 months ago #117336 by alexgreat
alexgreat replied the topic: North American economy in retreat
Interesting times

Steven Terner Mnuchin, a financier with deep roots on Wall Street and in Hollywood but no government experience, is expected to be named Donald J. Trump’s Treasury secretary as soon as Wednesday, people close to the transition say.

Mr. Mnuchin, 53, was the national finance chairman for Mr. Trump’s campaign. He began his career at Goldman Sachs, where he became a partner, before creating his own hedge fund, moving to the West Coast and entering the first rank of movie financiers by bankrolling hits like the “X-Men” franchise and “Avatar.”

www.nytimes.com/2016/11/29/us/politics/s...-secretary.html?_r=0

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1 year 3 months ago - 1 year 3 months ago #117316 by RonS
RonS replied the topic: North American economy in retreat
Treasury Bonds down again today, on the verge of breaking the support levels I am watching
Attachments:
Last Edit: 1 year 3 months ago by RonS.

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1 year 3 months ago #117244 by RonS
RonS replied the topic: North American economy in retreat
They had to pad the number with a whopping 197,000 from the birth death rate magic model, without that would have been -36,000 job losses

www.bls.gov/web/empsit/cesbd.htm

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