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North American economy in retreat

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2 years 8 months ago #167 by RonS
RonS replied the topic: North American economy in retreat
Yes, I believe so we have seen a bounce off the 1825 area twice, what I have called the "line in the sand"

And the Fed is already trying to talk the market up and changing gears on interest rate outlook

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2 years 8 months ago #166 by lynnsa10
lynnsa10 replied the topic: North American economy in retreat
Professor like the pic. Under Market Trends you have a chart of S&P that shows Fed will act between 1850 down to 1700, do you still think that is accurate?

We just recently dropped a bit below 1850

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2 years 8 months ago #165 by RonS
RonS replied the topic: North American economy in retreat
Another prediction of more QE a post a zero hedge. Whenever equity market price gets this distorted to US treasuries there is some kind of QE, shows a nice chart

www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-02-20/why-ac...ntervention-imminent

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2 years 8 months ago #158 by DearJohn
DearJohn replied the topic: North American economy in retreat
Mr Dalio, by one measure the most successful hedge fund manager of all time, argued in a note to clients that these measures have been exhausted and are increasingly ineffective.

"While QE will push asset prices somewhat higher, investors/savers will still want to save, lenders will still be cautious lenders, and cautious borrowers will remain cautious, so we will still have 'pushing on a string,'" he wrote.

He therefore predicts that central banks will eventually have to usher in what he calls "monetary policy 3" -- where rate cuts were the first stage and quantitative easing the second phase -- which will more directly and forcefully encourage spending.

The Bridgewater founder says this third era of monetary policy will range from central banks directly financing government spending through electronic money-printing to what the famous economist Milton Friedman coined "helicopter money" in 1969 -- in other words, central banks disbursing cash directly to households. ...

www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/5bc2c2be-d666-11...9b-8564e7528e54.html

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2 years 8 months ago #156 by RonS
RonS replied the topic: North American economy in retreat
Last year, 4,279 Americans bid Uncle Sam farewell, up 20% from 2014. That's 18 times as many as in 2008, and the third year in a row that's set a new record.

U.S. citizens and long-term residents now pay $2,350 apiece to ditch their passports or green cards, up from $450 previously.

ha ha only in America they say

money.cnn.com/2016/02/18/news/us-expat-t...section=money_latest

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2 years 8 months ago #140 by GoldnBoy
GoldnBoy replied the topic: North American economy in retreat
Central bank moves to impose negative interest rates mark a "dangerous experiment" in global monetary policy, posing new risks to financial stability, economists have warned.

Pretty good article and nice map

www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/economics/12...cy-hits-buffers.html

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2 years 9 months ago #126 by RonS
RonS replied the topic: North American economy in retreat
The market has totally shifted, expected no rates hikes by any Central Banks and in fact more cuts
www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/economics/12...em-into-reverse.html

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2 years 9 months ago #124 by RonS
RonS replied the topic: North American economy in retreat
Fed dot plot is useless
www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-fed-path-analysis-idUSKCN0VN0PU
This is probably the best point in the article
"Part of the problem is that it is consistently wrong," said Tim Duy, an economics professor at the University of Oregon. "The second part of the problem is that the Fed doesn’t seem to recognize how terrible their forecasts have been."

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2 years 9 months ago #120 by RonS
RonS replied the topic: North American economy in retreat
Japan's negative rates back fire "This is a reverse policy shock. We are reaching the limits of quantitative easing as we know it," said David Bloom,
Central Banks are losing control
www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/economics/12...hits-the-limits.html

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2 years 9 months ago #118 by GoldnBoy
GoldnBoy replied the topic: North American economy in retreat
TD is saying Bond market signalling 50% chance of US recession
www.kitco.com/news/2016-02-10/50-Chance-...rkets-ndash-TDS.html

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2 years 11 months ago #65 by lynnsa10
lynnsa10 replied the topic: North American economy in retreat
San Francisco Fed President John Williams said on Saturday, stating there was a "strong case" for raising interest rates next month provided that U.S. economic data does not disappoint. "Assuming that we continue to get good data on the economy, continue to get signs that we are moving closer to achieving our goals and gaining confidence getting back to 2% inflation...if that continues to happen there's a strong case to be made in December to raise rates." Williams is a closely watched policy maker who often signals the Fed's consensus position on monetary policy.

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2 years 11 months ago #58 by RonS
RonS replied the topic: North American economy in retreat
Fed soon be under more scrutiny. The House of Representatives passed the most important monetary reform bill since Humphrey Hawkins in 1978. This happened today with the decision to send to the Senate the Fed Oversight, Reform, and Modernization Act
www.nysun.com/editorials/the-ryan-revolution/89355/

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