North American economy in retreat

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2 years 11 months ago #427 by lynnsa10
lynnsa10 replied the topic: North American economy in retreat
I must have looked at 20 stories in the main stream on the Jobs report and not one mentions all the jobs with the birth death rate model. My God is the whole media under control or biased?

Most were pretty upbeat and said it was not that bad, only 1 month, economy still expanding and most of then dwelt on the better that expected wage growth of 2.5%, only the Bank in Germany mentioned any decent analysis.

The wage increase could have been because of a calendar quirk. Deutsche Bank's Torsten Sløk noted ahead of the report that because April 15 — payday for those on a biweekly schedule — fell early in the survey week for the jobs report, it was likely to cause an upward bias in earnings.

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2 years 11 months ago #426 by Gambler
Gambler replied the topic: North American economy in retreat
Amazing, how weak the economy is, just 0.5% GDP reported for 1st qtr.

Previous months' numbers also were revised lower. The BLS cuts the February count from 245,000 to 233,000, while the March total fell from 215,000 to 208,000.

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2 years 11 months ago #425 by RonS
RonS replied the topic: North American economy in retreat
April jobs report what a joke at 160.000. They had to majically create 233,000 jobs withe Birth/death rate model to get 160,000, without that would have been job losses

www.bls.gov/web/empsit/cesbd.htm

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2 years 11 months ago #420 by Anonymous
Anonymous replied the topic: North American economy in retreat
Dent says deflation and Bill Gross syas helicopter money and then inflation.

in his latest Investment Outlook note published Wednesday, he said the Federal Reserve and U.S. Treasury should engage in another round of quantitative easing (QE), printing trillions of dollars to buy government bonds and thereby boost the economy.

"Drop the money from helicopters," wrote Gross, manager of the $1.3 billion Janus Global Unconstrained Bond fund.

www.reuters.com/article/us-funds-janus-gross-idUSKCN0XV1AL ?

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2 years 11 months ago #402 by RonS
RonS replied the topic: North American economy in retreat
This video by Dent is good and gives some good clues about whats wrong with the economy. I have read most of his books and he is real good on long term cycles. He can be off on the short term, but as he puts it, government intervention can alter timings.

He say major downturn in markets between now and early 2017

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2 years 11 months ago #389 by lynnsa10
lynnsa10 replied the topic: North American economy in retreat
I listened to a video - a link in the link above that was with Larry Summers, who was puzzled why lower oil has not helped the US economy. They talked about economic conditions around the world and although they were sure to emphazise they were not predicting anything bad.

They had nothing good to talk about and seemed pretty dismal to me, here it is, but an hour long

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2 years 11 months ago #386 by RonS
RonS replied the topic: North American economy in retreat
When Oil prices began a big decline I commented that this may be a ploy by the central planners to boost the US economy. My arguement then - it probably would not work this time becuase of the offset of the oil shale boom.

I just noticed the first article I seen about low Oil not rescuing the US economy

qz.com/604657/why-cheap-oil-hasnt-saved-the-us-economy/

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2 years 11 months ago #381 by lynnsa10
lynnsa10 replied the topic: North American economy in retreat
This is a good video on paper money and Gold. It is a bit long, 50 minutes. Pretty solid argument on why the US$ will collapse

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3 years 3 days ago #365 by DearJohn
DearJohn replied the topic: North American economy in retreat
Here is the video of Yellen, Bernake, Greenspan and Volcker, it is an hour long but some interesting stuff and a look into the Fed BS

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3 years 1 week ago #358 by Gambler
Gambler replied the topic: North American economy in retreat
And PPI unexpectedly declined - well not here but the main stream did not expect it

Key Quotes

“Due to the first monthly decline in services prices since October 2015, the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand unexpectedly fell 0.1 percent in March. Core PPI-final demand also slipped by the same amount.”

“Anticipated to rise on the strength of higher energy prices, the index for PPI-final demand missed expectations for the month of March.

“Further back in the production pipeline, prices were mixed. Processed goods for intermediate demand, down 0.2 percent, extended its monthly decline to nine straight months, while unprocessed goods, up 2.5 percent, snapped an eight-month down streak.

“The soft performances from the March import and producer price reports suggest inflation pressures remain benign.”
www.fxstreet.com/news/forex-news/article...7c-89bf-e36dfac70821

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3 years 1 week ago #357 by Gambler
Gambler replied the topic: North American economy in retreat
US Retail Sales down more in March, down -0.3% vs an expected small rise. Good thing gasoline prices were up or the numbers would have been lower

This is the excuse ""Retail sales remain lackluster despite a strengthening labor market, which is starting to boost wages. Part of the weakness could be due to a stock market sell-off early this year, which hurt consumer sentiment. The value of sales is also being restrained by low prices, as retailers offer huge discounts to clear unwanted merchandise clogging up warehouses.""
www.cnbc.com/2016/04/13/us-retail-sales-march-2016.html

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3 years 1 week ago #345 by RonS
RonS replied the topic: North American economy in retreat
This is really scary, Yellen must be on another planet, according to a Kicto article I seen here
www.kitco.com/news/2016-04-08/Gold-I-Ain...fraid-Of-No-Fed.html

Responding to Trump about bubbles - she said the economy is not in a bubble - does she not have a clue? it is stocks and bonds in the bubble, but of course the Fed cannot tell the truth, but just deliver the planned message

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